Get weekend updates on the latest trends in S&P 100 stocks and the largest ETFs to stay ahead of the market.
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Weekly Special Report
During the week you will receive our most impactful report- whether it’s a unique policy perspective, economic data point from Dutta or a chart from deGraaf.
Get weekend updates on the latest trends in S&P 500 stocks and the largest ETFs to stay ahead of the market.
Advanced
Weekly Special Report
During the week you will receive our most impactful report- whether it’s a unique policy perspective, economic data point from Dutta or a chart from deGraaf.
Our clients tell us they follow our research because it is thoughtful and differentiated. They use it in their investment process to help interpret news flow.
Coherent
People use our research to have a coherent thought process around how the evolution in the economy may or may not impact financial markets.
Independent
Our research is Independent and not wedded to banking, director of research demands, or firm-wide call.
What’s the most effective way to apply your research?
Understand the Risks
Use our research to understand the risks to the consensus on both the upside and downside—though it’s worth noting that the consensus often gets it right too!
Technical Read
Get a technical read on markets on long-term and tactical basis.
Risk vs Reward
Understand good risk/reward setups.
Testimonials
What Our Clients Have To Say
“You guys seem to have a great thing going. What a fun team!”
— Growth Equity Manager
“Incredible call on China. A+”
— Money Manager
“Dutta has been en fuego… super helpful for us this year.”
When we say all the macro air-cover in one place—we mean in one place and for one price! RenMac Access has three senior, top ranked, analysts providing you with all necessary macro analysis you need to make informed decisions.
Jeff deGraaf
Head of Technical Research
As a member of Institutional Investor’s Hall of Fame, Jeff has helped legitimize technical analysis by employing a disciplined process reliant on data, history, and statistics, while discounting the narrative-based approach that remains so popular on Wall Street. His dedication to the business, unquenchable passion for markets and history creates a foundation that offers the flexibility to profit and protect.
Neil Dutta
Head of Economic Research
Neil Dutta leads RenMac’s economic research efforts, analyzing global trends and cross market investment themes. Neil joined RenMac after spending seven years at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, where he was a senior economist covering US and Canada. Neil is considered a market economist, looking at the economic data and trying to highlight the risks to the consensus as he sees them.
Steve Pavlick
Research
As the Head of Policy at Renaissance Macro, Steve helps buy-side clients identify opportunities and price political, legislative, and regulatory risks in today’s dynamic public policy environment.
Our Philosophy
Deep, Original & Vetted Research
The RenMac partners left large bulge-brackets to build a world class database of research dating back to the 1920s. We continue to expand our reach and intellectual horse-power into more markets and disciplines as we strive to provide the deepest, most original, and thoroughly vetted research available.
“Renaissance Macro provides clients with data driven insight matched with decades of experience in triangulating the macro-pillars of money management: economic, policy, and strategy. Understanding where we are in the market cycle, what history tells us about the future, and unique issues of today stretch beyond the most recent headline, elections, and the next quarterly estimate. You need more from what you can get for free and you deserve more than a tweet or blog. We built RenMac Access for those that need that macro air-cover but don’t currently have access to our institutional products. This is an excellent starting point in better understanding our process.“
Jeffrey DeGraaf, CEO
Our Outlook
We Think About Tomorrow
We do not provide stock picks and then tell you when we were right or how much money you would have made if you had known us two years ago.
Instead, we share insights gleaned from our past experiences, discuss our outlook for the future, and provide a wealth of data and intellectual analysis throughout the entire process.
CRE boom? In December, private nonresidential construction spending fell 0.7%, the third consecutive monthly decline. Data center construction has been solid though that has been offset by other sectors. Weak architectural billings in January suggest sluggish growth ahead.
Final demand trade services surged 2.5% in January. This is a warning that inflationary pressure has built up in the distribution chain. Producers have increased prices above costs, which means they have room to pass on the costs of tariffs down to buyers.
Tech employment has been sliding for a while now, cutting payrolls by roughly 5-10K per month. Not sure if that improves or gets worse. But, given recent news, this chart from @JosephPolitano might be worth keeping an eye on in the quarters ahead.
$SNOW pricing a +/- $19 move. Put skew extremely steep => assigns ~ 20-25% higher probability to downside 1σ event reflecting "SaaSpocalypse" hedging premium and $SNOW's -27% YTD decline trajectory. Long and hedged is current positioning into tonight.
According to the latest from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the 30Y fixed mortgage slid to a low of 6.09%. Despite the ongoing drop in rates, mortgage purchase apps haven't really gone anywhere since last spring. At a minimum, there's been some cooling from Jan to Feb.
